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Spotlight

Risk and valuation

Value

 >2.5% of capital value

Location

Germany and Poland

One of the largest investment managers in the world and a leader in responsible investment sought to assess the potential stakeholder impacts of embarking on a bold brown-to-green fund.

Value and risk analysis sparks both sustainability and financial outcomes

JLL’s dedicated experts set to immediate work with a thorough review of the energy audits for each of the assets. These detailed specific decarbonisation measures that could be undertaken in each location, together with the cost of implementing the works and their prospective impacts on energy performance.

Integrating these inputs, the project team performed sophisticated value scenario analysis for each asset; illustrating the potential brown discount associated with inaction, versus the potential for additional value where works were implemented. This process detailed how a suite of decarbonisation measures stood to directly affect each asset’s long-term cash flow, risk profile and value.

Overall, a decarbonisation strategy was found to have the potential to unlock additional value in excess of a 2.5% increase on the existing fund's valuation, representing several million euros. Given the variety of markets covered within the fund, the nuance at asset level was significant, with one asset showing more than a 5% increase in capital value under the decarbonisation scenario.

Enabling a consequential idea to become powerful reality

Two short weeks after the project kickoff, leaders with the firm walked away with the business case of asset-level decarbonisation plans in their management strategy.

Harnessing JLL analysis, our client elected to proceed on the decarbonisation plans—and went on to use these assets to seed their new brown-to-green fund, called the Net Zero Ambition Real Estate (NZARE) fund.